Carbon Black Daily Report: Essential Demand Holds the Floor, Price Suppression Continues(Nov 9)

Carbon Black Daily Report: Essential Demand Holds the Floor, Price Suppression Continues

Carbon Black Index

According to TDD data calculations, the carbon black price index on November 9 was 9,304, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.

Carbon Black Market Price

Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region were 5,560 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 5,550 yuan/ton; Hebei region 5,560 yuan/ton. Mainstream prices in the domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained stable, with narrow fluctuations in some areas. Supported by supply and demand fundamentals, there is some resistance to downward movement. Prices are likely to trend slightly weaker, with limited room for significant decline.

2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market edged up narrowly, with some enterprises seeing both increases and decreases. However, as the heating season approaches, some enterprises have supply guarantee plans, and market operating rates are expected to remain stable going forward. This means the market will present a pattern where large factories maintain stable operations while small factories run at low loads. Overall, the fluctuation in carbon black market operating rates is limited, with mainly narrow adjustments.

3. Downstream Demand: It is understood that industry profit levels are poor, with some enterprises operating at only 50-70% capacity. A few medium-to-large enterprises have relatively acceptable operating rates, mostly producing on demand, though some face incomplete product specifications and models.

Market Outlook

New order negotiations in the carbon black market were modest, with limited changes in new orders and an overall slow trading pace. Raw material prices are running steadily and are expected to remain stable going forward, providing limited cost-driven momentum for carbon black and making effective uplift difficult. At the same time, downstream procurement mostly maintains an essential-demand pace, with price-suppression negotiation intent persisting. Actual transaction volumes in the market are limited, and follow-through on high-price deals is difficult. With insufficient positive factors in the market, buyers and sellers remain locked in a stalemate, leading to new orders maintaining a weak and stable trend.

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