Carbon Black Daily Report: Stability on the Surface, Hidden Pressure Beneath(Nov 6)

Carbon Black Daily Report: Stability on the Surface, Hidden Pressure Beneath

Carbon Black Index

According to TDD data calculations, the carbon black price index on November 6 was 9,304, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.

Carbon Black Market Price

Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region were 5,560 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 5,550 yuan/ton; Hebei region 5,550 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market remained mostly stable with limited fluctuation space. Bulls and bears continued to wrestle, and the market remained in a dilemma between rising and falling.

2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market edged up narrowly, with some enterprises seeing both increases and decreases. However, as the heating season approaches, some enterprises have supply guarantee plans, and market operating rates are expected to remain stable going forward. This means the market will present a pattern where large factories maintain stable operations while small factories run at low loads. Overall, the fluctuation in carbon black market operating rates is limited, with mainly narrow adjustments.

3. Downstream Demand: It is understood that industry profit levels are generally modest, with some enterprises unable to reach full capacity. A few medium-to-large enterprises have relatively acceptable operating rates, mostly producing on demand, though some face incomplete product specifications and models.

Market Outlook

New order negotiations in the domestic carbon black market remain stable, with a calm trading atmosphere and cautious operations from both buyers and sellers. Coal tar raw material market new orders are running steadily, with significant cost-side pressure providing some support for carbon black prices. However, recent downstream purchasing enthusiasm is not high, mostly limited to essential restocking. Active stockpiling willingness is weak, and new order negotiations face pressure, with limited follow-through on high-price transactions. Overall, short-term market changes are expected to be limited, maintaining a stable consolidation trend.

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