Carbon Black Daily: Prices Fall, Transactions Disappear(Sep 29)
Carbon Black Daily: Prices Fall, Transactions Disappear
01 Carbon Black Price Index
According to data from Tuoduoduo, the carbon black price index on September 29 was 10,498, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region were RMB 5,500/ton; in Shanxi region RMB 5,300/ton; and in Hebei region RMB 5,510/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market prices are gradually returning to rational levels, with some regions beginning to show significant decline trends.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market has declined. New order prices for raw material coal tar are showing a downward trend, and previously high raw material prices led to low inventory levels. Downstream tire enterprises have reduced procurement volumes, dampening the market's enthusiasm for production. During this period, some manufacturers in Shandong underwent maintenance, and a major North China plant reduced its operating load, leading to a decline in carbon black market operating data.
3. Downstream Demand: According to industry sources, some all-steel tire enterprises that underwent earlier maintenance remain in maintenance status. Additionally, with the National Day holiday approaching, some enterprises are entering the final stages of pre-holiday maintenance, which will further drag down tire industry operating rates. A few large enterprises maintained high operating rates to ensure regular product supply.
04 Market Outlook
The carbon black market currently shows clear weak characteristics, with downward pressure continuing to intensify. On the cost side, the broad-based decline in raw material coal tar has created a strong drag, and new carbon black order prices have fallen accordingly. However, the price adjustment has not brought about any improvement in transactions, with the market stuck in a "prices exist but no deals" stalemate. On the demand side, some downstream enterprises are conducting maintenance ahead of schedule, procurement enthusiasm has noticeably declined, and the willingness to take delivery is insufficient, with a strong wait-and-see atmosphere prevailing in the market. With the dual bearish factors of cost collapse and weakening demand, the weak pattern of new carbon black orders is difficult to reverse in the short term.
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