Carbon Black Daily: How Far Will New Orders Fall?（Sep 21）

Carbon Black Daily: How Far Will New Orders Fall?

01  Carbon Black Price Index

According to Duoduoduo data calculations, the carbon black price index on September 21 was 11,175.25, down 51 from the previous trading day.

02  Carbon Black Market Price

03  Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 6,720 yuan/tonne; in Shanxi, 6,800 yuan/tonne; in Hebei, 6,750 yuan/tonne. The high-temperature coal tar market remains in a wait-and-see mode, with increasing bearish factors, and the market is finding it difficult to maintain its firm stance.

2. Carbon Black Supply: Operating rates at sample domestic carbon black companies declined. Coal tar raw material prices remained at high levels, and carbon black companies' raw material inventories were low. However, due to shipment difficulties affecting their willingness to purchase raw materials, some large producers chose to reduce production lines and lower operating rates. A plant in Hebei was under maintenance. Overall, the carbon black market operating rate declined.

3. Downstream Demand: According to reports, some companies undergoing maintenance are resuming operations on schedule, with production gradually recovering. Other companies are in the final stages before maintenance shutdowns. Overall, plant production remains weak. Costs remain high. Most tire companies in the main production areas of Guangrao and Weifang have maintenance plans scheduled around the end of the month, which will drag down the overall production and supply side.

04  Market Outlook

High-priced quotes have begun to correct downward, and coal tar has also declined. Cost support is weakening, and bearish sentiment is emerging. Downstream buyers remain reluctant to take goods, waiting for guidance from new coal tar tender prices. In the short term, new orders are expected to decline weakly.

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