Carbon Black Daily: Carbon Black Price Push, Will Downstream Follow?(Oct 20)

Carbon Black Daily: Carbon Black Price Push, Will Downstream Follow?

Carbon Black Price Index

According to TDD data calculations, the carbon black price index on October 19 was 9,537.75, temporarily stable compared to the previous trading day.

Carbon Black Market Price

Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream raw materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region were 5,450 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 5,600 yuan/ton; Hebei region 5,550 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is temporarily in a wait-and-see mode. Recently, positive market factors have been continuously released, and near-term coal tar rigid demand remains strong.

2. Carbon black supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market has increased. During the National Day holiday, some major plants reduced their load due to declining downstream operations. After the holiday, major plants raised their operating loads, but maintenance at some Shandong and Shanxi enterprises also limited the industry's operating rate increase. Overall, the carbon black industry operating rate is trending upward.

3. Downstream demand: According to reports, some enterprises face limited increases in operating rates. High raw material prices constrain tire enterprises' production intensity. A few large enterprises maintain acceptable operating conditions with average finished product inventories, ensuring order delivery and regular product supply.

Market Outlook

Currently, the domestic carbon black market is negotiating new orders in a consolidating manner, with an overall acceptable trading atmosphere. From the cost side, after raw material prices showed an upward trend, carbon black enterprises have successively raised their new order quote prices, and cost-side support has strengthened, pushing the quote center upward. From the demand side, downstream tire enterprises are mainly purchasing on a rigid-demand basis. As operating rates increase, procurement volumes are gradually rising, and demand-side support is marginally improving.

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