Carbon Black Daily: Carbon Black Market Caught in "Squeezed from Both Ends" Stalemate(Oct 16)

Carbon Black Daily: Carbon Black Market Caught in "Squeezed from Both Ends" Stalemate

01  Carbon Black Index

According to TDD data calculations, on October 16, the carbon black price index was 9,537.75, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.

02  Carbon Black Market Price

03  Carbon Black Market Impact Analysis

1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong region are 5,450 yuan/ton; Shanxi region 5,600 yuan/ton; Hebei region 5,550 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market shows a certain upward trend, with favorable market factors continuing to be released in the short term. Downstream deep-processing products are all showing upward trends, so the coal tar market is expected to remain firm in the short term.

2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample enterprises in the domestic carbon black market has risen. During the National Day holiday, some large manufacturers reduced their operating loads due to declining downstream activity. After the holiday, large manufacturers increased their operating loads, but maintenance at some enterprises in Shandong and Shanxi also limited the improvement in industry operating rates. Overall, the carbon black industry operating rate is trending upward.

3. Downstream Demand: According to reports, with raw material prices remaining high and manufacturers raising quotes, channels mostly adopt a wait-and-see attitude, primarily digesting inventory and maintaining only rigid sporadic purchases. All-steel tire production is weak, with some specifications experiencing shortages, while semi-steel tire production is slowly recovering, and replacement market demand remains generally stable.

04  Market Outlook

Currently, the domestic carbon black market continues to maintain a firm price consolidation pattern for new orders, with an overall strong trading atmosphere. From the cost side, raw material market prices continue to show an upward trend, creating significant cost pressure on carbon black enterprises and pushing new order quotes to remain firm. From the demand side, downstream tire enterprises' operating rates have improved, driving an increase in purchase volumes compared to the previous period, with rigid demand support strengthening. However, downstream tire industry losses are relatively pronounced, and their ability to accept high raw material prices is limited. Downward price pressure sentiment persists, narrowing the room for further increases in carbon black new order prices.

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