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Polypropylene PP: The market rose slightly on Friday, and Shenhua's auction transaction rate increased significantly

86,240
March 29, 2024, 4:02 PM

Sinopec inventory: two-oil polyolefin inventory of 760000 tons, 35000 tons less than yesterday.



PP futures analysis: March 29th PP2405 opening price: 7512, highest price: 7515, lowest price: 7464, position: 313000 hands, settlement price: 7483, yesterday settlement: 7473, up: 10, daily trading volume: 222034 lots.



Mainstream quotation for wire drawing in PP market: yuan / ton

Region

March 28th

March twenty _ ninth

Rise and fall

North China

7330-7450

7330-7450

0/0

East China

7420-7550

7420-7550

0/0

South China

7480-7550

7480-7550

0/0

 

 

PP China spot market analysis: today, China's PP market prices have stopped falling and stabilized, and the mainstream prices of Chinese wire drawing range from 7340 to 7550 yuan / ton. Petrochemical, this morning two oil early storage 760000 tons, the upper reaches of the month to quickly go to the warehouse, the current two oil inventory pressure is significantly less than the previous. Ex-factory price, only PetroChina South China Guangdong Petrochemical part of the brand down, other stable. Coal companies generally stable prices, only Pucheng co-polymerization up-regulated, the market supply cost drive is not strong. PP futures continue to fluctuate between communities, floating red within the day, to a certain extent to ease the tension on the floor. Traders ship with the market, and the overall offer adjustment is limited. Downstream rigid demand to enter the market, the overall transaction performance is general.


PP spot trend Forecast: raw materials: the current focus of the crude oil market is still on the geographical situation, the Gaza ceasefire negotiations have reached an impasse, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has not been effectively resolved, but the cease-fire negotiations are still continuing. Geographical factors are still the main positive support source of crude oil disk, the trend of geographical situation determines the degree of short-term pricing of crude oil, and the upgrading or cooling of the geopolitical situation will determine the rising and falling trend of crude oil; as for coal, most coal mines in the region maintain normal production, individual coal mines stop production and maintenance in the current month, and the overall coal supply level is slightly reduced. With the end of central heating in northern regions, the actual demand performance is not good, the rise in coal prices still lacks strong support, and it is expected that the market coal price stalemate is weak in the later stage. On the supply side: since late March, there has been an increase in equipment overhaul in China. In April, there are still many devices parking, including Zhejiang Sinopec, Shenhua Baotou and Datang. At the same time, the possibility of operating parking due to cost is not ruled out, and the market supply is expected to be significantly reduced. In terms of demand, the overall downstream demand is relatively stable, the order increment is insufficient and the raw material price callback makes the terminal lack of willingness to prepare goods, so it is difficult to play a big role in driving the market. Under the comprehensive impact, it is expected that the short-term PP market will remain volatile, with demand suppression and cost support.

China's PP index: according to Tudor data, China's PP spot index was 7463 on March 29th, stable.

 

China installation parking Summary:

Enterprise name

product line

Production capacity

Parking Duration

departure time

Dalian Petrochemical Corporation

Third line

5

August 2, 2006

To be determined

Wuhan Petrochemical Corporation

Old equipment

12

November 12, 2021

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

First line

20

February 8, 2022

To be determined

Haiguolong oil

Second line

35

April 3, 2022

To be determined

Tianjin Petrochemical Company

First line

6

August 1, 2022

To be determined

Jinxi Petrochemical

Single line

15

February 16, 2023

To be determined

Yanshan Petrochemical

Second line

7

September 18, 2023

To be determined

Shaoxing Sanyuan

New line

30

September 20, 2023

To be determined

Qinghai Salt Lake

Single line

16

October 27, 2023

To be determined

Changzhou Fude

Single line

30

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Jingbo polyolefin

First line

20

November 1, 2023

To be determined

Luoyang Petrochemical

First line

8

November 3, 2023

To be determined

Zhongjing Petrochemical

The first phase and the first line

50

December 5, 2023

To be determined

Hongrun Petrochemical

Single line

45

December 6, 2023

To be determined

Qilu Petrochemical

Single line

7

December 23, 2023

To be determined

Lianhong Xinke

Second line

8

December 30, 2023

To be determined

Fujian Union

Old line

12

January 3, 2024

To be determined

Gold energy chemistry

First line

45

March 8, 2024

To be determined

North China brocade

Old line

6

March 8, 2024

To be determined

Jiutai Group

Single line

32

March 15, 2024

April 15, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first line of Phase II

40

March 19, 2024

To be determined

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

Second phase, second line.

40

March 20, 2024

To be determined

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

First line

35

March 20, 2024

May 20, 2024

Chinese Science Refining and Chemical Industry

Second line

20

March 21, 2024

May 20, 2024

Ningbo Fude

Single line

40

March 24, 2024

April 4, 2024

Donghua Energy (Ningbo)

The first phase

40

March 25, 2024

March 29, 2024

Jingbo polyolefin

Second line

40

March 26, 2024

April 15, 2024

Quanzhou, Sinochem

Second line

35

March 26, 2024

To be determined

Jingmen petrochemical

Single line

12

March 27, 2024

March 31, 2024

Shenhua auction turnover: Shenhua Coal Chemical Industry's auction volume today was 1894 tons, down 49.89% from yesterday; the turnover was 1781 tons, down 34.47% from yesterday, and the turnover rate was 94.03%, an increase of 22.13% over yesterday.