1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
China's soda ash market prices have continued to decline this week. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China this week is 2,600 - 2,800 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is 2,700 - 2,850 yuan/ton. The decline in heavy soda is higher than the decline in light soda; With the resumption of production in the early stage of maintenance and the commissioning of new equipment, the soda ash market started to increase this week; after the holiday, companies have offered prices one after another, and the price of soda ash is mainly downward, and the market is affected by buying increases but not buying decreases, so companies are also more cautious in purchasing; At present, some companies still have to place orders, and the pressure on manufacturers 'inventory is not large for the time being, but there is some pressure on the market to receive orders, and the price of new orders is stable and declining.
Forecast for next week: The supply of soda ash in the market is expected to increase, and growth is expected in the later period; downstream demand and procurement are general, the spot price of soda ash continues to fall, corporate purchasing sentiment is cautious, and it is difficult to have a good support point in the short term. soda ash prices are expected to weaken and decline.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
December 28 |
January 4 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2925 |
2750 |
-175 |
-5.98% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3075 |
2825 |
-250 |
-8.13% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2850 |
2650 |
-200 |
-7.02% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3025 |
2775 |
-250 |
-8.26% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2775 |
2700 |
-75 |
-2.70% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2850 |
2800 |
-50 |
-1.75% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2725 |
2650 |
-75 |
-2.75% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2825 |
2725 |
-100 |
-3.54% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2975 |
2925 |
-50 |
-1.68% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3125 |
3000 |
-125 |
-4.00% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2875 |
2825 |
-50 |
-1.74% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3050 |
2850 |
-200 |
-6.56% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
2675 |
2550 |
-125 |
-4.67% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2750 |
2600 |
-150 |
-5.45% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of January 4 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1366 yuan/ton, down 48 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 870 yuan/ton, down 215 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
December 28 |
January 4 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
1414 |
1366 |
-48 |
-3.39% |
ammonia-soda process |
1085 |
870 |
-215 |
-19.82% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 85.30%, an increase of 2.16% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 666,000 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on January 4, 2024 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Huainan Debang |
60 |
On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined. |
|
Jinshan, Henan |
390 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 90% |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Qinghai Fantou |
140 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
Kunlun Jianye |
150 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 370,500 tons, compared with 345,000 tons last week, a month-on-month increase of 25,500 tons, an increase of 6.88%.